Sladekova et al. 2023
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Description
Reference: Sladekova et al. (2023).
Research question: how much do meta-analytic effect-size estimates change after applying publication-bias adjustment methods in psychology datasets?
Data availability: Data and materials are available through OSF.
Data description and source: The authors reanalysed 433 meta-analytic datasets from 90 psychology papers, selected from a random sample of meta-analyses published in 2008 and 2018.
Data processing: Only a minority of estimates (N = 2,758) are clearly Fisher-transformed correlations. We include these as part of BEAR. The individual dataset, Sladekova.rds, also includes 5,013 estimates based on raw correlations and another 3,863 estimates where the scale is unclear or mixed. During processing and cleaning of data, we found some cases of Fisher-scale variances being used with point estimates of raw correlations. We also find appreciably heavier tails for z-values from entries that were not Fisher-transformed. For that reason we chose to include Fisher-transformed correlations in main BEAR dataset. This is conservative, but we retain all data in the individual dataset. We use the standard Fisher-scale calculation described in Working with correlations for its Fisher-transformed entries.
Study characteristics:
- Study ID: we use a descriptive source label and year where available, otherwise the label or a row-specific ID. Note that for some sets we are not able to identify observations belonging to the same paper;
study_labelhas source text, e.g. author-year. - Year: the available source study or publication year.
- Meta-analysis ID: we use the source filename to distinguish meta-analyses.
- Meta-analysis DOI:
doi_metaidentifies the original meta-analytic paper, using the authors’ sampling inventories. It covers 87 of 88 papers; the remaining paper is unassigned. Primary-study DOIs are not included. - Topic: the psychology subfield coded for the source meta-analytic paper; one conflicting classification is left missing.
- The designs of the primary studies are not classified.
Individual dataset dictionary:
| Column | Description |
|---|---|
studyid |
Study grouping within a meta-analysis |
study_label |
Study description derived from source data, often author-year. |
metaid |
Identifier of the source meta-analytic dataset. |
doi_meta |
DOI of the original meta-analytic paper. |
topic |
Psychology subfield of the meta-analytic paper. |
measure |
Type of effect, such as a correlation, where known. |
effect_scale |
fisher_z or raw correlations; three other categories used when raw correlation was paired with variance for Fisher’s z, there was a possible mismatch, or if we do not have enough information to determine scale. These latter categories are guesses by an LLM. |
b |
Effect estimate supplied by authors. |
se |
Square root of the variance supplied by authors; note that this may be on a different scale from b (see effect_scale). |
z |
Effect divided by se; questionable scale pairings may give misleading values. |
ss |
Number of participants or units used to obtain the estimate, where available. |
year |
Study or publication year as determined by authors. |
Model of z-values
| Characteristic | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Probability of significance | 54% |
| Relative probability of publication for |z| < 1.96 | 0.82 |
| Successful replication for |z| > 1.96 | 83% |
| Correct sign for |z| > 1.96 | 99% |
What do these terms mean?
- Probability of significance
- The reported value is the assurance: the proportion of significant results adjusted for publication bias.
- Relative probability of publication
- The relative probability of observing a result below the |z| = 1.96 threshold rather than above it. Values below one indicate lower observation probability below the conventional two-sided significance threshold.
- Successful replication
- The probability that an exact replication has the same sign and a |z| greater than 1.96, conditional on the original result having |z| greater than 1.96.
- Correct sign
- The probability that the observed effect has the same direction as the true effect, conditional on an original result with |z| greater than 1.96.
